We have included the data for Jay Davies, Jack Robinson, Yadin Nicol and Jacob Wilcox in case they are added to the draw via a trials win.
All of our our ‘career’ average heat score and win % statistics are taken from 2013-2018 WSL contest seasons. They do not reflect the entire careers of surfers who have been on tour longer than that.
A successful fantasy player never relies on past results or projections alone; we suggest that you check the forecast, sort through the particular conditions data that you deem most relevant and pick out a team that you feel balances the metrics as well as your gut.
Margaret River Metrics 2018
Key:Win % - percentage of heat wins from 2013-2017
AHS - average heat score across all heats 2013-2017
2018 win% - percentage of heats won in current season
2018 AHS - average heat score for current season
EAHS - AHS across all heats for this event 2013-2017
E.Heats - number of heats surfed at this event 2013-2017
4-6' - average heat score in wave heights 4-6' (2013-2017)
6-8' - average heat score in wave heights 6-8' (2013-2017)
8-10+' - average heat score in wave heights 8-10+' (2013-2017)
Left/Right - average heat score in breaks offering both lefts and rights (2013-2017)
Rights - average heat score in right-hander specific breaks (2013-2017)
Reefs- average heat score in reef breaks (2013-2017)
Proj AHS - projected AHS based on the data presented in this table
Proj Score - projected score for the entire event using AHS and win percentage data
* 2018 win percentages count a 2nd place finish in R4 as a win because it allows a surfer to progress
| Surfer | Win %* | AHS | 2018 win% | 2018 AHS | EAHS | E.Heats | 4-6' | 6-8' | 8-10+' | Left/Right | Rights | Reefs | Proj AHS | Proj Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John John Florence | 65.45 | 14.6 | 25 | 10.45 | 16.62 | 17 | 14.65 | 15.46 | 16.65 | 14.37 | 15.2 | 15.48 | 13.61 | 104.797 |
| Gabriel Medina | 65.95 | 13.63 | 62.5 | 12.64 | 11.78 | 12 | 14.41 | 14.28 | 13.89 | 14.34 | 13.88 | 14 | 12.21 | 94.017 |
| Jordy Smith | 58.5 | 13.05 | 50 | 13.14 | 13.42 | 17 | 13.73 | 14.41 | 10.26 | 14.11 | 14.66 | 12.5 | 12.32 | 81.312 |
| Julian Wilson | 57.01 | 12.57 | 87.5 | 11.92 | 14.17 | 18 | 12.95 | 13.21 | 11.53 | 12.98 | 13.94 | 12.92 | 12.06 | 79.596 |
| Joel Parkinson | 54.59 | 12.97 | 40 | 12 | 13.11 | 16 | 13.63 | 13.04 | 12.19 | 12.45 | 14.63 | 13.02 | 12.1 | 63.525 |
| Adriano de Souza | 56.05 | 13.04 | 42.86 | 11.45 | 13.4 | 20 | 13.31 | 12.61 | 12.7 | 13.66 | 13.98 | 12.02 | 11.75 | 61.6875 |
| Italo Ferreira | 52.99 | 12.25 | 77.78 | 14.39 | 13.74 | 9 | 13.22 | 12.52 | 11.43 | 13.02 | 13.99 | 12.37 | 12.05 | 63.2625 |
| Filipe Toledo | 52.58 | 13.16 | 57.14 | 12.72 | 12.14 | 13 | 13.49 | 11.75 | 11.63 | 13.8 | 14.42 | 10.85 | 11.45 | 60.1125 |
| Owen Wright | 51.05 | 13.34 | 75 | 11.47 | 11.94 | 13 | 13.92 | 12.29 | 14.02 | 12.87 | 13.32 | 13.25 | 11.64 | 46.56 |
| Michel Bourez | 49.24 | 11.74 | 75 | 13.28 | 13.06 | 20 | 12.46 | 11.31 | 11.77 | 11.25 | 13.63 | 12.24 | 11.51 | 46.04 |
| Adrian Buchan | 45.56 | 12.46 | 75 | 12.34 | 11.83 | 13 | 13.3 | 13.1 | 11.9 | 12.47 | 12.71 | 12.85 | 11.45 | 45.8 |
| Kolohe Andino | 46.52 | 12.47 | 50 | 10.14 | 12.28 | 15 | 12.94 | 11.87 | 12.64 | 12.69 | 12.51 | 12.36 | 11.07 | 44.28 |
| Jeremy Flores | 42.42 | 12.77 | 50 | 12.02 | 14.38 | 13 | 12.44 | 13.6 | 12.33 | 12.17 | 13.22 | 13.67 | 12.13 | 35.48025 |
| Frederico Morais | 45.61 | 12.65 | 50 | 10.95 | 9.45 | 2 | 11.64 | 14.1 | 12.97 | 12.23 | 13.67 | 9.47 | 10.41 | 30.44925 |
| Sebastian Zietz | 40.66 | 12.08 | 20 | 10.4 | 13.71 | 18 | 12.45 | 12.61 | 11.39 | 12.26 | 13.19 | 12.35 | 11.46 | 33.5205 |
| Mikey Wright | 44.44 | 12.66 | 50 | 11.09 | 0 | 13.77 | 12.67 | 10.48 | 30.654 | |||||
| Connor O'Leary | 42.86 | 11.79 | 25 | 9.5 | 11.89 | 3 | 11.52 | 12.97 | 11.42 | 11.58 | 11.34 | 12.51 | 10.66 | 31.1805 |
| Matt Wilkinson | 44.63 | 11.13 | 40 | 11.35 | 9.81 | 10 | 11.59 | 11.65 | 11.26 | 11.37 | 12.81 | 10.64 | 10.2 | 29.835 |
| Kanoa Igarashi | 41.77 | 10.47 | 40 | 11.14 | 11.38 | 6 | 10.91 | 10.03 | 10.34 | 11.87 | 11.09 | 10.02 | 9.78 | 27.873 |
| Michael February | 50 | 9.54 | 25 | 8.23 | 0 | 10.1 | 9.54 | 7.82 | 22.287 | |||||
| Willian Cardoso | 35.71 | 13 | 33.33 | 11.37 | 0 | 13.28 | 13 | 11.34 | 10.79 | 30.7515 | ||||
| Caio Ibelli | 35.37 | 10.98 | 0 | 9.89 | 13.06 | 8 | 11.31 | 12.97 | 14.16 | 11.46 | 12.89 | 10.74 | 10.78 | 30.723 |
| Conner Coffin | 35.8 | 10.74 | 42.86 | 10.42 | 10.82 | 7 | 11.96 | 11.18 | 14.21 | 11.57 | 12.91 | 10.69 | 10.28 | 29.298 |
| Yadin Nicol | 33.33 | 10.72 | 13.29 | 4 | 10.79 | 12.7 | 9.26 | 12.91 | 12.44 | 10.98 | 31.293 | |||
| Jay Davies | 30 | 12.78 | 13.14 | 8 | 13.17 | 10.96 | 14.15 | 12.05 | 13.51 | 12.78 | 11.58 | 21.423 | ||
| Miguel Pupo | 35.95 | 10.99 | 9.43 | 12 | 11.47 | 10.87 | 8.9 | 11.71 | 12.22 | 9.74 | 9.61 | 17.7785 | ||
| Ian Gouveia | 32.35 | 11.34 | 0 | 8.75 | 12.09 | 2 | 12.44 | 11.69 | 10.47 | 11.35 | 11.17 | 11.71 | 10.38 | 19.203 |
| Joan Duru | 29.27 | 12.6 | 0 | 11.78 | 8.27 | 2 | 12.31 | 13.7 | 7.99 | 12.45 | 12.77 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 19.425 |
| Yago Dora | 30.77 | 12.36 | 0 | 10.32 | 0 | 13.9 | 10.33 | 9.43 | 14.23 | 10.32 | 9.88 | 9.7 | 17.945 | |
| Ezekiel Lau | 29.73 | 11.55 | 42.86 | 9.1 | 10 | 2 | 11.57 | 12.29 | 10.59 | 11.77 | 12.34 | 9.77 | 9.89 | 18.2965 |
| Tomas Hermes | 31.25 | 11.07 | 50 | 10.66 | 0 | 11.44 | 9.82 | 11.72 | 10.75 | 9.21 | 16.578 | |||
| Keanu Asing | 28.57 | 10.4 | 0 | 9.36 | 7.35 | 4 | 11.33 | 10.02 | 5.86 | 10.81 | 11.31 | 9.38 | 8.83 | 15.894 |
| Wade Carmichael | 27.27 | 10.64 | 42.86 | 11.47 | 0 | 12.3 | 6 | 3.73 | 6 | 11.97 | 4.87 | 8.23 | 14.814 | |
| Jesse Mendes | 22.22 | 11.12 | 20 | 11.21 | 10.37 | 2 | 11.07 | 9.67 | 11.65 | 11.08 | 10.37 | 9.7 | 17.46 | |
| Jacob Wilcox | 22.22 | 11.52 | 11.2 | 5 | 4.4 | 13.07 | 12.74 | 12.88 | 10.44 | 11.2 | 9.47 | 17.046 | ||
| Jack Robinson | 0 | 8.48 | 12.04 | 2 | 4.63 | 12.19 | 5.06 | 12.19 | 4.63 | 8.48 | 7.56 | 13.61 |
Margaret River Place History
Empty fields denote absent/injured surfer.Results only include WCT events at Margaret River, not QS results (the event has been running since 1985).
It should be noted that John John also won this event as a QS Prime event in 2012
| Surfer | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Events | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Bourez | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Adriano de Souza | 9 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| John John Florence | 13 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 7.25 |
| Julian Wilson | 13 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 7.25 |
| Jordy Smith | 5 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Sebastian Zietz | 13 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| Italo Ferreira | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | ||
| Joel Parkinson | 5 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 8.5 |
| Owen Wright | 13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
| Caio Ibelli | 5 | 13 | 2 | 9 | ||
| Yadin Nicol | 9 | 1 | 9 | |||
| Kolohe Andino | 13 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11.25 |
| Ace Buchan | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| Miguel Pupo | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| Filipe Toledo | 9 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 12.33 | |
| Kanoa Igarashi | 13 | 13 | 2 | 13 | ||
| Connor O'Leary | 13 | 1 | 13 | |||
| Ian Gouveia | 13 | 1 | 13 | |||
| Jesse Mendes | 13 | 1 | 13 | |||
| Jeremy Flores | 25 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| Jay Davies | 5 | 25 | 2 | 15 | ||
| Gabriel Medina | 5 | 25 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 16 |
| Jacob Wilcox | 25 | 13 | 2 | 19 | ||
| Matt Wilkinson | 25 | 25 | 9 | 25 | 4 | 21 |
| Keanu Asing | 25 | 25 | 2 | 25 | ||
| Ezekiel Lau | 25 | 1 | 25 | |||
| Frederico Morais | 25 | 1 | 25 | |||
| Jack Robinson | 25 | 1 | 25 | |||
| Joan Duru | 25 | 1 | 25 |
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