This data uses the 2014/2015/2016 results and gives a slight weighting to 2016 form within the projections. Many of the less experienced surfers (less reliable data) have skewed projections due to their averages being heavily influenced by this season’s results and having no previous experience at this event. Italo, Wiggolly and Asing have only one year’s worth of data at this event.
Don’t just rely on our projections alone; we suggest that you check the forecast, sort through the columns yourselves and pick out the elements that you believe to be of most importance.
Our full Pipe event article will be up soon. Until then, have fun playing with your teams. This is your last chance to sign up to our WSL Surf-Stats group (password – SS) or the Fantasy Surfer Surf-Stats clubhouse (password – SS) before the seasons’ end.
Pipe Projections
AHS = average heat score (using 2014-16 seasons)EATP = event average total points (WSL game),
EAHS = event average heat score,
Prev AHS = average heat score from previous contest,
4-6' = heat average in waves of 4-6' size,
6-8' = heat average in waves of 6-8' size,
8-10+' = heat average in waves of 8-10+' size,
Reef = average heat score in conditions offering beach break waves,
Left = average heat score in conditions offering left-hander waves,
Right = average heat score in conditions offering right-hander waves,
Left/Right = average heat score in conditions offering both left- and right-hander waves,
PROJ SCORE = total projected score for the event (WSL game)
NAME | AET | EAHS | 2016 AHS | AHS | 4-6' | 6-8' | 8-10+' | Reef | Lefts | Rights | Left/Right | Proj Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelly Slater | 62.21 | 14.2 | 13.82 | 13.93 | 13.79 | 14.86 | 15.91 | 15.32 | 16.05 | 13.73 | 13.14 | 133.98 |
John John Florence | 76.62 | 12.85 | 14.71 | 14.18 | 13.87 | 14.93 | 14.89 | 15.05 | 14.91 | 14.5 | 14.13 | 131.84 |
Gabriel Medina | 111.02 | 12.88 | 14.28 | 13.97 | 14.45 | 14.27 | 13.97 | 14.37 | 14.95 | 13.97 | 13.84 | 106.29 |
Italo Ferreira | 86.44 | 13.66 | 13.27 | 13.16 | 13.5 | 13.53 | 11.79 | 13.32 | 12.99 | 13.8 | 13.52 | 102.55 |
Joel Parkinson | 44.89 | 10.37 | 13.48 | 13.11 | 13.93 | 13.02 | 12.28 | 13.29 | 12.8 | 14.39 | 12.37 | 80.25 |
Julian Wilson | 61.24 | 10.91 | 12.59 | 12.52 | 12.93 | 14.49 | 9.58 | 13.43 | 12.36 | 13.95 | 12.52 | 78.48 |
Jeremy Flores | 46.83 | 9.71 | 12.84 | 12.3 | 12.31 | 12.07 | 10.92 | 13.15 | 12.72 | 12.4 | 12.08 | 75.68 |
Adriano De Souza | 87.47 | 10.06 | 12 | 12.92 | 13.01 | 12.85 | 10.98 | 12.06 | 11.62 | 13.79 | 13.05 | 75.02 |
Ryan Callinan | 11.96 | 12.59 | 11.23 | 13.52 | 11.26 | 10.86 | 11.3 | 12.77 | 59.04 | |||
Caio Ibelli | 11.79 | 11.64 | 11.62 | 11.52 | 11.98 | 9.67 | 12.2 | 12.13 | 58.69 | |||
Sebastian Zietz | 42.02 | 9.6 | 13.1 | 12.02 | 11.76 | 12.38 | 11.35 | 12.4 | 11.66 | 12.78 | 11.53 | 58.68 |
Filipe Toledo | 47.31 | 10.28 | 13.1 | 12.7 | 13.7 | 9.63 | 9.73 | 10.47 | 10.12 | 14.16 | 14.04 | 58.17 |
Josh Kerr | 70.06 | 9.78 | 12.33 | 11.9 | 12.02 | 11.61 | 10.2 | 11.8 | 11.83 | 12.08 | 11.8 | 43.92 |
Jack Freestone | 11.76 | 12.5 | 11.97 | 9.48 | 9.48 | 12.82 | 12.95 | 43.84 | ||||
Adrian Buchan | 47.72 | 8.64 | 12.77 | 11.84 | 13.15 | 12.76 | 11.14 | 12.39 | 12.58 | 12.09 | 11.61 | 43.73 |
Jordy Smith | 17.02 | 6.21 | 13.7 | 12.45 | 13.03 | 13.37 | 9.66 | 11.5 | 8.53 | 14.03 | 13.57 | 43.53 |
Nat Young | 17.16 | 6.93 | 12.37 | 12.33 | 11.95 | 12.99 | 10.83 | 12.58 | 11.51 | 13.1 | 12.04 | 43.51 |
Davey Cathels | 11.56 | 12.24 | 11.24 | 11.75 | 10.78 | 10.3 | 11.83 | 11.55 | 43.3 | |||
Kolohe Andino | 20.29 | 5.9 | 13.46 | 12.15 | 13.39 | 11.72 | 9.54 | 12.01 | 12.98 | 12.35 | 12.67 | 31.43 |
Conner Coffin | 11.75 | 12.12 | 12.09 | 12.28 | 9.54 | 8.58 | 13.64 | 11.87 | 31.34 | |||
Stuart Kennedy | 11.36 | 11.36 | 11.24 | 11.89 | 10.39 | 9.97 | 12.93 | 11.55 | 30.99 | |||
Jadson Andre | 18.46 | 7.19 | 12.34 | 11.73 | 12.53 | 10.7 | 10.38 | 10.86 | 11.19 | 12.32 | 11.74 | 30.54 |
Kai Otton | 40.23 | 7.36 | 12 | 11.83 | 12.26 | 11.48 | 11.07 | 11.39 | 11.31 | 12.73 | 11.43 | 30.35 |
Kanoa Igarashi | 11.19 | 12.51 | 10.16 | 11.41 | 10.14 | 8.06 | 11.57 | 11.8 | 29.99 | |||
Michel Bourez | 35.24 | 7.9 | 12.01 | 11.32 | 11.45 | 11.14 | 10.28 | 10.79 | 9.46 | 13.02 | 10.77 | 19.16 |
Adam Melling | 44.28 | 10.64 | 11.2 | 10.96 | 11.46 | 12.19 | 8.33 | 11.27 | 10.43 | 11.71 | 10.8 | 19.02 |
Matt Banting | 10.83 | 11.28 | 11.38 | 10.82 | 7.17 | 9.85 | 9.86 | 11.61 | 11.31 | 18.91 | ||
Alejo Muniz | 29.48 | 8.39 | 10.84 | 10.65 | 11.03 | 9.49 | 11.12 | 9.37 | 10.02 | 11.82 | 10.64 | 18.5 |
Keanu Asing | 37.21 | 7.44 | 11.36 | 10.89 | 11.45 | 10.46 | 5.86 | 9.57 | 9.95 | 11.41 | 11.02 | 18.32 |
Wiggolly Dantas | 5.63 | 2.82 | 13.1 | 11.34 | 10.93 | 11.43 | 7.89 | 10.72 | 10.43 | 14.19 | 11.67 | 17.13 |
Miguel Pupo | 12.76 | 5.08 | 11.51 | 11.09 | 11.61 | 9.9 | 7.9 | 9.56 | 9.08 | 12.36 | 11.36 | 16.62 |
Bede Durbidge | 26.27 | 4.89 | 12.37 | 13.33 | 7.17 | 10.46 | 10.06 | 13.91 | 16.53 | |||
Matt Wilkinson | 10.88 | 4.33 | 11.67 | 11.09 | 11.9 | 10.24 | 10.59 | 9.42 | 9.47 | 12.66 | 11.7 | 16.43 |
Alex Ribeiro | 9.27 | 7.96 | 5.84 | 9.34 | 8.04 | 7.6 | 10.56 | 8.34 | 13.93 |
Pipe FS Data
*n.b.: surfers values given at current market valueName | $ Value | Proj AHS | Proj Score | $1000/point |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kelly Slater | 6500000 | 14.56 | 250 | 26.00 |
John John Florence | 11250000 | 14.33 | 175 | 64.29 |
Gabriel Medina | 11500000 | 13.8 | 151 | 76.16 |
Italo Ferreira | 7000000 | 13.32 | 150 | 46.67 |
Joel Parkinson | 6250000 | 12.74 | 128 | 48.83 |
Julian Wilson | 9000000 | 12.46 | 127 | 70.87 |
Jeremy Flores | 4500000 | 12.01 | 126 | 35.71 |
Adriano De Souza | 9750000 | 11.91 | 125 | 78.00 |
Ryan Callinan | 3000000 | 11.81 | 103 | 29.13 |
Caio Ibelli | 5000000 | 11.74 | 102 | 49.02 |
Sebastian Zietz | 1500000 | 11.74 | 101 | 14.85 |
Filipe Toledo | 9000000 | 11.63 | 100 | 90.00 |
Josh Kerr | 5750000 | 11.56 | 86 | 66.86 |
Jack Freestone | 3000000 | 11.54 | 85 | 35.29 |
Adrian Buchan | 5000000 | 11.51 | 84 | 59.52 |
Jordy Smith | 8500000 | 11.45 | 83 | 102.41 |
Nat Young | 4500000 | 11.45 | 82 | 54.88 |
Davey Cathels | 3000000 | 11.39 | 81 | 37.04 |
Kolohe Andino | 7000000 | 11.33 | 80 | 87.50 |
Conner Coffin | 4500000 | 11.29 | 79 | 56.96 |
Stuart Kennedy | 1500000 | 11.17 | 78 | 19.23 |
Jadson Andre | 3750000 | 11.01 | 77 | 48.70 |
Kai Otton | 4500000 | 10.94 | 76 | 59.21 |
Kanoa Igarashi | 5000000 | 10.81 | 75 | 66.67 |
Michel Bourez | 5250000 | 10.65 | 47 | 111.70 |
Adam Melling | 1500000 | 10.57 | 46 | 32.61 |
Matt Banting | 4000000 | 10.51 | 45 | 88.89 |
Alejo Muniz | 3750000 | 10.28 | 44 | 85.23 |
Keanu Asing | 3500000 | 10.18 | 43 | 81.40 |
Wiggolly Dantas | 4750000 | 10.08 | 42 | 113.10 |
Miguel Pupo | 5250000 | 9.78 | 41 | 128.05 |
Bede Durbidge | 3000000 | 9.73 | 40 | 75.00 |
Matt Wilkinson | 5500000 | 9.66 | 39 | 141.03 |
Alex Ribeiro | 3000000 | 8.2 | 38 | 78.95 |
Pipe Surfers' Event History
Round / Placing / Value:Final (win) / 1st / 10
Final (lose) / 2nd / 8
Semis / 3rd / 6.5
Quarters / 5th / 5.2
R5 / 9th / 4
R3 / 13th / 1.75
R2 / 25th or lower / 0.5
Empty field value denotes injury absence or surfer not on tour
Surfer | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Total | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joel Parkinson | 8 | 10 | 6.5 | 1.75 | 4 | 30.25 | 6.05 |
Kelly Slater | 6.5 | 6.5 | 10 | 1.75 | 5.2 | 29.95 | 5.99 |
Gabriel Medina | 5.2 | 4 | 1.75 | 8 | 8 | 26.95 | 5.39 |
John John Florence | 5.2 | 1.75 | 8 | 5.2 | 4 | 24.15 | 4.83 |
Josh Kerr | 1.75 | 8 | 1.75 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 23.2 | 4.64 |
Julian Wilson | 1.75 | 1.75 | 5.2 | 10 | 1.75 | 20.45 | 4.09 |
Sebastian Zietz | 5.2 | 5.2 | 4 | 1.75 | 16.15 | 4.04 | |
Keanu Asing | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | ||||
Adriano de Souza | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 10 | 15.25 | 3.81 | |
Michel Bourez | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 4 | 1.75 | 14.5 | 2.90 |
Jeremy Flores | 1.75 | 4 | 1.75 | 4 | 11.5 | 2.88 | |
Filipe Toledo | 0.5 | 5.2 | 1.75 | 7.45 | 2.48 | ||
Miguel Pupo | 0.5 | 4 | 5.2 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 11.95 | 2.39 |
Kai Otton | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 5.2 | 1.75 | 11.95 | 2.39 |
Ace Buchan | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 1.75 | 9.25 | 2.31 | |
Adam Melling | 1.75 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 5.2 | 10.95 | 2.19 |
Nat Young | 4 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 6.25 | 2.08 | ||
Alejo Muniz | 1.75 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 7.95 | 1.99 | |
Italo Ferreira | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | ||||
Jordy Smith | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 5.75 | 1.44 | |
Bede Durbidge | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 6.25 | 1.25 |
Kolohe Andino | 1.75 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 1.13 | |
Jadson Andre | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 3.25 | 0.81 | |
Matt Wilkinson | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 3.75 | 0.75 |
Wiggolly Dantas | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 |
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